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Petr Brunclik vs Sebastian Sorger — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Petr Brunclik

Czech Republic

76.56%

Sebastian Sorger

Austria

23.44%

Average Odds

2.06  /  1.70

Market probability

45.21%  /  54.79%

Why This Prediction?

Petr Brunclik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1582 vs 1376), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1537 vs 1404) and a stronger serve (65.1% vs 57.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1581.6 Elo 1376.2
1536.7 Elo (surface) 1404.2
41 Wins (Challenger) 5
17 Wins (surface) 5
7 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.089 Dominance ratio 0.847
366 Rank 364
20.1 Age 20.7
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Brunclik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Sebastian Sorger

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Brunclik Sebastian Sorger

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%
58.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%
55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%
29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Brunclik Sebastian Sorger

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

65.7%
54.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%
32.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Brunclik 00 Sebastian Sorger

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01
7-6 6-1
4 Aces 3
5 Double Faults 4
64 Service Points 66
38 First Serve In 44
21 First Serve Won 30
12 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Petr Brunclik — Last 10

L W L L L L L W L W

Sebastian Sorger — Last 10

L L W L W L L L L L