ATP tennis predict — Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo Carboni

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Petr Brunclik

Czech Republic

79.62%

Lorenzo Carboni

Italy

20.38%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.69

Market probability

65.45% / 34.55%

Why This Prediction?

Petr Brunclik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1383), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1601 vs 1408) and a stronger serve (62.6% vs 57.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1638.0 Elo 1382.7

1601.1 Elo (surface) 1407.6

40 Wins (Challenger) 26

16 Wins (surface) 16

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.982 Dominance ratio 0.941

331 Rank 481

20.0 Age 20.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Brunclik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Lorenzo Carboni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Brunclik Lorenzo Carboni

1st Serve In %

—

75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

38.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Brunclik Lorenzo Carboni

Break Points Saved %

—

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.7%

42.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Brunclik 0 – 0 Lorenzo Carboni

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Petr Brunclik #331

Lorenzo Carboni #481

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 5

60 Service Points 69

36 First Serve In 40

29 First Serve Won 26

13 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo Carboni — Prediction