ATP tennis predict — Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 07:10

Predicted probability

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

39.32%

Taisei Ichikawa

Japan

60.68%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.58

Market probability

63.86% / 36.14%

Why This Prediction?

Taisei Ichikawa is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1624 vs 1468), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1623 vs 1539) and a stronger return game (40.6% vs 33.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1467.8 Elo 1624.4

1539.0 Elo (surface) 1623.0

50 Wins (Challenger) 23

48 Wins (surface) 23

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.200 Dominance ratio 1.045

285 Rank 781

24.4 Age 25.6

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Taisei Ichikawa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Taisei Ichikawa

1st Serve In %

64.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

26.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

1.13

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.1%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Taisei Ichikawa

Break Points Saved %

82.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Bar Biryukov 0 – 0 Taisei Ichikawa

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Petr Bar Biryukov #285

Taisei Ichikawa #781

6-2 6-3

8 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 1

50 Service Points 41

22 First Serve In 18

16 First Serve Won 9

15 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Taisei Ichikawa — Prediction