ATP tennis predict — Petr Bar Biryukov vs Luca Staeheli

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

37.75%

Luca Staeheli

Switzerland

62.25%

Average Odds

2.43 / 1.51

Market probability

38.32% / 61.68%

Why This Prediction?

Luca Staeheli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1651 vs 1496), a higher Elo rating (1606 vs 1496) and a stronger return game (46.5% vs 32.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1496.2 Elo 1606.4

1495.9 Elo (surface) 1651.3

50 Wins (Challenger) 9

2 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.156 Dominance ratio 1.212

285 Rank 541

24.4 Age 26.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Luca Staeheli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Luca Staeheli

1st Serve In %

64.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

26.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

1.13

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.1%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Luca Staeheli

Break Points Saved %

82.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

66.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Bar Biryukov 0 – 0 Luca Staeheli

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Luca Staeheli #541

Petr Bar Biryukov #281

7-5 6-3

8 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 1

78 Service Points 57

38 First Serve In 39

27 First Serve Won 30

15 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Luca Staeheli — Prediction