ATP tennis predict — Petr Bar Biryukov vs Jie Cui

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · R16 08:10

Predicted probability

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

52.24%

Jie Cui

China

47.76%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.43

Market probability

61.52% / 38.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1496 Elo 1544.2

1564.4 Elo (surface) 1540.9

51 Wins (Challenger) 50

49 Wins (surface) 49

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.282 Dominance ratio 0.842

285 Rank 450

24.4 Age 28.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Jie Cui

1st Serve In %

64.5%

65.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.6%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

26.5%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

1.13

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.1%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Jie Cui

Break Points Saved %

82.9%

51.1%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Bar Biryukov 0 – 0 Jie Cui

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-13

R16

Jie Cui #450

Petr Bar Biryukov #285

6-4 6-2

9 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 1

54 Service Points 48

27 First Serve In 34

21 First Serve Won 27

11 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Jie Cui — Prediction