ATP tennis predict — Petr Bar Biryukov vs Denis Yevseyev

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

46.12%

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

53.88%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.15

Market probability

56.88% / 43.12%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1461.3 Elo 1505.3

1522.1 Elo (surface) 1500.4

51 Wins (Challenger) 204

49 Wins (surface) 129

8 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.462 Dominance ratio 1.264

288 Rank 444

24.5 Age 33.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Denis Yevseyev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Denis Yevseyev

1st Serve In %

64.5%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.6%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

26.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

1.13

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

70.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.1%

56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Denis Yevseyev

Break Points Saved %

82.9%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

45.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

35.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Bar Biryukov 1 – 0 Denis Yevseyev

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Denis Yevseyev #444

Petr Bar Biryukov #288

7-6 6-7 6-2

16 Aces 6

7 Double Faults 4

112 Service Points 100

71 First Serve In 71

55 First Serve Won 56

22 Second Serve Won 21

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Hangzhou CH · 2024-10-07

R32

Petr Bar Biryukov #553

Denis Yevseyev #193

6-4 3-6 6-3

14 Aces 1

8 Double Faults 1

97 Service Points 75

52 First Serve In 47

41 First Serve Won 37

19 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Denis Yevseyev — Prediction