ATP tennis predict — Petr Bar Biryukov vs Dane Sweeny

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · R16 05:55

Predicted probability

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

46.20%

Dane Sweeny

Australia

53.80%

Average Odds

2.93 / 1.37

Market probability

31.86% / 68.14%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1615.0 Elo 1715.3

1657.6 Elo (surface) 1624.1

55 Wins (Challenger) 73

53 Wins (surface) 67

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.423 Dominance ratio 1.167

281 Rank 110

24.6 Age 25.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Dane Sweeny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Dane Sweeny

1st Serve In %

64.5%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.6%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

26.5%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

1.13

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.8%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.0%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Dane Sweeny

Break Points Saved %

82.9%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.2%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Bar Biryukov and Dane Sweeny have never played each other.

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Dane Sweeny — Prediction