ATP tennis predict — Petr Bar Biryukov vs Andre Ilagan

ATP Hard Chengdu · qualification - round of 16 07:00

Predicted probability

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

37.95%

Andre Ilagan

USA

62.05%

Average Odds

2.96 / 1.38

Market probability

31.80% / 68.20%

Why This Prediction?

Andre Ilagan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1757 vs 1582), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1729 vs 1633) and more wins on hard courts (80 vs 52).

Player Comparison

1582.2 Elo 1756.7

1633.4 Elo (surface) 1729.3

0 Wins 2

0 Wins (surface) 2

0 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.518 Dominance ratio 0.774

269 Rank 184

24.6 Age 25.8

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Andre Ilagan

1st Serve In %

64.5%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.6%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

13.7%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

26.5%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

1.13

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.1%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Bar Biryukov Andre Ilagan

Break Points Saved %

82.9%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

53.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.1%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Bar Biryukov 0 – 0 Andre Ilagan

Hard Chengdu · 2026-09-22

qualification - round of 16

Petr Bar Biryukov #269

Andre Ilagan #184

7-6 7-6

17 Aces 12

7 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

43 First Serve Won 42

20 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Petr Bar Biryukov vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction