ATP tennis predict — Pedro Vives Marcos vs Niels Visker

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · R16 11:35

Predicted probability

Pedro Vives Marcos

Spain

40.55%

Niels Visker

Netherlands

59.45%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.10

Market probability

55.70% / 44.30%

Why This Prediction?

Niels Visker is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (67.7% vs 59.0% of service points won), more wins on clay courts (12 vs 3) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1598 vs 1567).

Player Comparison

1604.3 Elo 1566.0

1566.6 Elo (surface) 1597.7

15 Wins (Challenger) 33

3 Wins (surface) 12

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.158 Dominance ratio 1.148

538 Rank 430

25.4 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Vives Marcos Niels Visker

1st Serve In %

—

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

18.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Vives Marcos Niels Visker

Break Points Saved %

—

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Vives Marcos 0 – 0 Niels Visker

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Pedro Vives Marcos #538

Niels Visker #430

4-6 7-6 6-4

17 Aces 4

10 Double Faults 5

101 Service Points 85

60 First Serve In 51

46 First Serve Won 45

21 Second Serve Won 21

6 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Pedro Vives Marcos vs Niels Visker — Prediction