ATP tennis predict — Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · QF 13:00

Predicted probability

Pedro Vives Marcos

Spain

40.75%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

59.25%

Average Odds

3.00 / 1.35

Market probability

31.03% / 68.97%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (60 vs 4), a stronger serve (65.8% vs 59.3% of service points won) and more career match wins (17 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1630.6 Elo 1632.8

1618.7 Elo (surface) 1629.1

16 Wins (Challenger) 119

4 Wins (surface) 60

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.173 Dominance ratio 1.186

538 Rank 238

25.4 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Vives Marcos Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

—

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Vives Marcos Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

—

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Vives Marcos 0 – 0 Alejandro Moro Canas

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Pedro Vives Marcos #538

Alejandro Moro Canas #238

6-3 5-7 7-6

4 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 2

114 Service Points 94

79 First Serve In 70

49 First Serve Won 44

15 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3 Average Odds 1.4

Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction