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Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · qualification - round of 16 16:30

Predicted probability

Pedro Sakamoto

Brazil

62.44%

Santiago De La Fuente

Argentina

37.56%

Average Odds

1.35  /  2.97

Market probability

68.75%  /  31.25%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Sakamoto is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1515 vs 1435), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1524 vs 1448) and more wins on clay courts (135 vs 25).

Player Comparison

1515.4 Elo 1434.7
1524.3 Elo (surface) 1448.4
144 Wins (Challenger) 25
135 Wins (surface) 25
6 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.991 Dominance ratio 0.987
526 Rank 728
33.2 Age 24.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Sakamoto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Santiago De La Fuente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Sakamoto Santiago De La Fuente

1st Serve In %

63.2%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.19
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%
71.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%
60.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%
40.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%
52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.34
0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Sakamoto Santiago De La Fuente

Break Points Saved %

54.1%
—

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%
51.2%

Break Points Converted %

53.1%
40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Sakamoto and Santiago De La Fuente have never played each other.

Pedro Sakamoto — Last 10

W L L L W W L L L W

Santiago De La Fuente — Last 10

W L L W L L L L W L