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Pedro Rodenas vs Svyatoslav Gulin — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Pedro Rodenas

Spain

29.57%

Svyatoslav Gulin

Russia

70.43%

Average Odds

2.19  /  1.59

Market probability

42.06%  /  57.94%

Why This Prediction?

Svyatoslav Gulin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1624 vs 1471), a higher Elo rating (1612 vs 1468) and more wins on clay courts (29 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1468.5 Elo 1612.0
1471.0 Elo (surface) 1623.7
5 Wins (Challenger) 35
1 Wins (surface) 29
5 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.002 Dominance ratio 0.880
633 Rank 572
22.5 Age 23.8
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Rodenas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-10-04.

Svyatoslav Gulin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Rodenas Svyatoslav Gulin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.3%
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%
56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%
28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%
44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Rodenas Svyatoslav Gulin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

51.3%
55.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%
35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Rodenas and Svyatoslav Gulin have never played each other.

Pedro Rodenas — Last 10

L L W L W L W L W L

Svyatoslav Gulin — Last 10

L W L W L W W L W L