ATP tennis predict — Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatov

ATP Clay Estoril · qualification - quarterfinal

Predicted probability

Pedro Martinez

Spain

41.57%

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

58.43%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.31

Market probability

59.69% / 40.31%

Why This Prediction?

Timofey Skatov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1639 vs 1589), a stronger serve (68.0% vs 60.8% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1665 vs 1621).

Player Comparison

1589.2 Elo 1638.7

1620.7 Elo (surface) 1664.7

135 Wins 43

86 Wins (surface) 25

6 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.063 Dominance ratio 1.157

157 Rank 163

29.2 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Timofey Skatov

1st Serve In %

67.7%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.8%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.8%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Timofey Skatov

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Martinez 1 – 0 Timofey Skatov

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-19

qualification - quarterfinal

Pedro Martinez #159

Timofey Skatov #163

6-3 6-2

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 55

29 First Serve In 39

20 First Serve Won 25

13 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Hard Bengaluru CH · 2026-01-05

F

Pedro Martinez #96

Timofey Skatov #235

7-6(5) 6-3

5 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 76

43 First Serve In 54

33 First Serve Won 40

16 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatov — Prediction