ATP tennis predict — Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Pedro Martinez

Spain

36.20%

Matej Dodig

Croatia

63.80%

Average Odds

2.77 / 1.32

Market probability

32.27% / 67.73%

Why This Prediction?

Matej Dodig is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1858 vs 1725), a higher Elo rating (1856 vs 1755) and more aces per game (0.17 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1754.8 Elo 1856.4

1724.5 Elo (surface) 1858.4

167 Wins (Challenger) 89

125 Wins (surface) 69

10 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.915 Dominance ratio 0.845

130 Rank 174

29.5 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Matej Dodig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Matej Dodig

1st Serve In %

67.7%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

16.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

62.9%

37.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Matej Dodig

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

56.7%

37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Martinez and Matej Dodig have never played each other.

Pedro Martinez vs Matej Dodig — Prediction