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Pedro Martinez vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Pedro Martinez

Spain

39.20%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

60.80%

Average Odds

2.07  /  1.70

Market probability

45.09%  /  54.91%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1750 vs 1641), a higher Elo rating (1728 vs 1605) and a better head-to-head record against Pedro Martinez (2-1).

Player Comparison

1604.6 Elo 1728.2
1641.2 Elo (surface) 1750.5
155 Wins (Challenger) 257
120 Wins (surface) 256
7 Last 15 form 11
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.027 Dominance ratio 0.929
148 Rank 143
29.2 Age 33.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

67.7%
66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%
47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.8%
65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%
60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%
44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.8%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.10
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

64.2%
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
43.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Martinez 12 Hugo Dellien

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-28
6-1 6-4
0 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 2
50 Service Points 48
36 First Serve In 38
15 First Serve Won 24
3 Second Serve Won 4
4 Break Points Saved 1
10 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1
Clay Luedenscheid CH · 2023-07-31
7-5 7-5
2 Aces 4
1 Double Faults 6
73 Service Points 83
50 First Serve In 54
31 First Serve Won 31
11 Second Serve Won 11
7 Break Points Saved 7
11 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay ATP Rio de Janeiro · 2020-02-17
3-6 6-2 7-5
0 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 6
96 Service Points 95
75 First Serve In 63
45 First Serve Won 40
9 Second Serve Won 8
4 Break Points Saved 6
9 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sao Paulo · 2019-02-25
6-1 6-2
4 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 2
37 Service Points 48
31 First Serve In 31
23 First Serve Won 16
4 Second Serve Won 5
0 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Pedro Martinez — Last 10

L L W W W W L W L W

Hugo Dellien — Last 10

L W L W L W W W W L