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Pedro Martinez vs Francesco Forti — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Pedro Martinez

Spain

59.87%

Francesco Forti

Italy

40.13%

Average Odds

1.36  /  2.96

Market probability

68.52%  /  31.48%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Martinez is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (88 vs 0), a higher Elo rating (1611 vs 1594) and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.28).

Player Comparison

1611.4 Elo 1594.0
1625.5 Elo (surface) 1613.6
160 Wins (Challenger) 98
121 Wins (surface) 80
8 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 0
0.919 Dominance ratio 1.071
148 Rank 367
29.4 Age 27.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Francesco Forti

1st Serve In %

67.7%
56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%
37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%
21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%
43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.8%
61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%
73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.8%
52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.10
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Martinez Francesco Forti

Break Points Saved %

64.2%
40.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.2%
21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%
45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Martinez 10 Francesco Forti

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-08
7-5 7-6
1 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 0
77 Service Points 77
52 First Serve In 42
37 First Serve Won 29
13 Second Serve Won 13
5 Break Points Saved 1
7 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 3.0
Clay Rome Masters · 2020-09-14
4 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 5
37 Service Points 45
24 First Serve In 26
21 First Serve Won 15
8 Second Serve Won 6
0 Break Points Saved 5
1 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Pedro Martinez — Last 10

L L W W W W L W L W

Francesco Forti — Last 10

W L W L W W L W W L