ATP tennis predict — Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Samuele Pieri

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Brazil

65.13%

Samuele Pieri

Italy

34.87%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.16

Market probability

56.84% / 43.16%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Boscardin Dias is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1526 vs 1493), a stronger return game (44.5% vs 34.7% of return points won) and more wins on clay courts (103 vs 15).

Player Comparison

1504.9 Elo 1487.0

1525.7 Elo (surface) 1493.0

106 Wins (Challenger) 15

103 Wins (surface) 15

5 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.202 Dominance ratio 0.879

274 Rank 386

23.5 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Samuele Pieri

1st Serve In %

59.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.34

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Samuele Pieri

Break Points Saved %

52.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Boscardin Dias 0 – 0 Samuele Pieri

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Samuele Pieri #386

Pedro Boscardin Dias #274

6-3 0-6 6-4

1 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 5

71 Service Points 104

45 First Serve In 69

28 First Serve Won 40

17 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 13

5 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Samuele Pieri — Prediction