ATP tennis predict — Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Brazil

42.83%

Otto Virtanen

Finland

57.17%

Average Odds

3.65 / 1.26

Market probability

25.66% / 74.34%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1771 vs 1519), a stronger serve (66.0% vs 55.4% of service points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1519.1 Elo 1771.3

1556.9 Elo (surface) 1490.4

106 Wins (Challenger) 120

103 Wins (surface) 12

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.168 Dominance ratio 1.014

256 Rank 125

23.5 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Otto Virtanen

1st Serve In %

59.7%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Otto Virtanen

Break Points Saved %

52.2%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Boscardin Dias 0 – 0 Otto Virtanen

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Otto Virtanen #125

Pedro Boscardin Dias #256

4-6 7-6 6-3

2 Aces 11

1 Double Faults 2

106 Service Points 98

64 First Serve In 53

40 First Serve Won 39

25 Second Serve Won 25

6 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen — Prediction