ATP tennis predict — Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Jurij Rodionov

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Brazil

41.37%

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

58.63%

Average Odds

3.38 / 1.29

Market probability

27.62% / 72.38%

Why This Prediction?

Jurij Rodionov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1658 vs 1514), a stronger serve (63.8% vs 55.4% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.33 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1513.7 Elo 1657.6

1539.4 Elo (surface) 1562.9

106 Wins (Challenger) 235

103 Wins (surface) 63

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.176 Dominance ratio 1.072

209 Rank 177

23.5 Age 27.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Jurij Rodionov

1st Serve In %

59.7%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Jurij Rodionov

Break Points Saved %

52.2%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Boscardin Dias 0 – 0 Jurij Rodionov

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Jurij Rodionov #136

Pedro Boscardin Dias #256

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 2

61 Service Points 60

33 First Serve In 37

24 First Serve Won 27

11 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction