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Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Eduardo Ribeiro — Prediction

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · QF 17:00

Predicted probability

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

39.02%

Average Odds

1.79  /  1.94

Market probability

52.01%  /  47.99%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Boscardin Dias is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (44.4% vs 35.8% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1617 vs 1596) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1613 vs 1601).

Player Comparison

1616.8 Elo 1595.5
1612.9 Elo (surface) 1601.1
108 Wins (Challenger) 55
105 Wins (surface) 52
5 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 3
1.180 Dominance ratio 0.992
284 Rank 355
23.7 Age 28.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Eduardo Ribeiro

1st Serve In %

59.7%
66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%
42.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%
33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%
48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.34
0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.06

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%
69.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%
66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.1%
37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%
43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pedro Boscardin Dias Eduardo Ribeiro

Break Points Saved %

52.2%
68.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%
39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
55.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%
39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pedro Boscardin Dias 1 – 3 Eduardo Ribeiro

Clay Florianopolis CH · 2025-11-17
3 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 3
50 Service Points 62
35 First Serve In 39
22 First Serve Won 18
13 Second Serve Won 14
2 Break Points Saved 7
3 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Curitiba CH · 2025-10-13
6-1 3-6 7-6(4)
4 Aces 5
8 Double Faults 3
102 Service Points 92
51 First Serve In 58
38 First Serve Won 38
22 Second Serve Won 15
7 Break Points Saved 5
10 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Porto Alegre CH · 2025-04-28
4 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 3
77 Service Points 76
46 First Serve In 40
29 First Serve Won 23
13 Second Serve Won 15
7 Break Points Saved 8
12 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Campinas CH · 2025-03-31
0 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 6
60 Service Points 68
34 First Serve In 30
25 First Serve Won 18
11 Second Serve Won 16
3 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Pedro Boscardin Dias — Last 10

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Eduardo Ribeiro — Last 10

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