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Pawit Sornlaksup vs Shunsuke Mitsui — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Pawit Sornlaksup

Thailand

40.64%

Shunsuke Mitsui

Japan

59.36%

Average Odds

4.09  /  1.20

Market probability

22.68%  /  77.32%

Why This Prediction?

Shunsuke Mitsui is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (66.8% vs 52.3% of service points won), a stronger return game (40.8% vs 35.3% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (7 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1494.1 Elo 1475.6
1497.2 Elo (surface) 1477.9
3 Wins (Challenger) 7
3 Wins (surface) 7
3 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.740 Dominance ratio 1.228
748 Rank 652
27.0 Age 24.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pawit Sornlaksup

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Shunsuke Mitsui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pawit Sornlaksup Shunsuke Mitsui

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.0%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.2%
71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%
55.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%
32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%
49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pawit Sornlaksup Shunsuke Mitsui

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
58.3%

Break Points Converted %

52.3%
45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pawit Sornlaksup 00 Shunsuke Mitsui

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Shunsuke Mitsui #652

Pawit Sornlaksup #748

7-6 1-6 6-4
1 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 6
90 Service Points 91
49 First Serve In 45
27 First Serve Won 27
23 Second Serve Won 21
4 Break Points Saved 5
8 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Pawit Sornlaksup — Last 9

L L W W L L W L W

Shunsuke Mitsui — Last 10

L L W L L W W L W L