ATP tennis predict — Pavle Marinkov vs Christian Langmo

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Pavle Marinkov

Australia

54.52%

Christian Langmo

USA

45.48%

Average Odds

3.08 / 1.30

Market probability

29.68% / 70.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1443.0 Elo 1502.6

1452.3 Elo (surface) 1443.7

19 Wins (Challenger) 87

19 Wins (surface) 71

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.006 Dominance ratio 1.135

527 Rank 460

20.5 Age 30.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pavle Marinkov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pavle Marinkov Christian Langmo

1st Serve In %

48.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.29

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pavle Marinkov Christian Langmo

Break Points Saved %

47.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.6%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

25.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pavle Marinkov 0 – 1 Christian Langmo

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-28

qualification - 1. round

Christian Langmo #457

Pavle Marinkov #525

6-4 7-5

3 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 63

36 First Serve In 34

27 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Playford CH · 2024-10-21

R32

Christian Langmo #485

Pavle Marinkov #852

6-3 4-6 6-3

14 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 6

97 Service Points 112

61 First Serve In 58

41 First Serve Won 40

20 Second Serve Won 21

10 Break Points Saved 12

13 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Pavle Marinkov vs Christian Langmo — Prediction