ATP tennis predict — Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Pavel Kotov

Russia

60.14%

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

39.86%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.68

Market probability

65.53% / 34.47%

Why This Prediction?

Pavel Kotov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1826 vs 1714), more wins on hard courts (53 vs 22) and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1798.2 Elo 1804.6

1826.2 Elo (surface) 1714.3

141 Wins (Challenger) 174

90 Wins (surface) 38

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.107 Dominance ratio 1.137

187 Rank 68

27.9 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pavel Kotov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pavel Kotov Vit Kopriva

1st Serve In %

64.3%

57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.2%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

83.8%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

66.7%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.8%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pavel Kotov Vit Kopriva

Break Points Saved %

53.1%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.0%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

74.0%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pavel Kotov 0 – 1 Vit Kopriva

Hard Manama CH · 2023-02-13

R32

Vit Kopriva #180

Pavel Kotov #126

6-2 6-1

4 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 58

32 First Serve In 35

20 First Serve Won 18

8 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva — Prediction