ATP tennis predict — Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Andres Martin

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Brazil

26.02%

Andres Martin

USA

73.98%

Average Odds

3.41 / 1.24

Market probability

26.67% / 73.33%

Why This Prediction?

Andres Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1614 vs 1429), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1618 vs 1484) and more wins on hard courts (54 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1429.0 Elo 1614.4

1483.9 Elo (surface) 1617.6

28 Wins (Challenger) 62

5 Wins (surface) 54

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.972 Dominance ratio 1.053

475 Rank 323

26.2 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

—

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

—

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.8%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0 – 0 Andres Martin

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Andres Martin #323

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos #475

5-7 6-3 6-4

2 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 4

89 Service Points 121

49 First Serve In 72

33 First Serve Won 45

17 Second Serve Won 23

2 Break Points Saved 13

8 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.4

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Andres Martin — Prediction