ATP tennis predict — Paul Jubb vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Paul Jubb

Great Britain

37.97%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mexico

62.03%

Average Odds

3.12 / 1.31

Market probability

29.57% / 70.43%

Why This Prediction?

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1603 vs 1522), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1556 vs 1490) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.24).

Player Comparison

1521.8 Elo 1602.6

1490.2 Elo (surface) 1555.9

76 Wins (Challenger) 56

54 Wins (surface) 26

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.934 Dominance ratio 1.061

499 Rank 294

26.8 Age 21.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Paul Jubb

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Jubb Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

1st Serve In %

60.3%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.59

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Jubb Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Break Points Saved %

70.8%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.6%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Paul Jubb 0 – 0 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #294

Paul Jubb #499

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 8

1 Double Faults 4

54 Service Points 65

39 First Serve In 39

28 First Serve Won 30

8 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Paul Jubb vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — Prediction