ATP tennis predict — Paul Jubb vs Ajeet Rai

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Paul Jubb

Great Britain

72.99%

Ajeet Rai

New Zealand

27.01%

Average Odds

1.13 / 4.80

Market probability

80.94% / 19.06%

Why This Prediction?

Paul Jubb is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1558 vs 1327), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1534 vs 1337) and a stronger return game (39.2% vs 36.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1558.2 Elo 1326.8

1533.6 Elo (surface) 1336.9

76 Wins (Challenger) 23

54 Wins (surface) 21

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.972 Dominance ratio 0.871

375 Rank 1011

26.8 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Paul Jubb

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Ajeet Rai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Jubb Ajeet Rai

1st Serve In %

60.3%

54.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

38.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.59

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Jubb Ajeet Rai

Break Points Saved %

70.8%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.6%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Paul Jubb 0 – 0 Ajeet Rai

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Ajeet Rai #1011

Paul Jubb #375

3-6 6-3 6-3

5 Aces 10

12 Double Faults 9

110 Service Points 86

70 First Serve In 54

46 First Serve Won 36

13 Second Serve Won 16

9 Break Points Saved 3

15 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.8 Average Odds 1.1

Paul Jubb vs Ajeet Rai — Prediction