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Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · R16 15:30

Predicted probability

Paul Inchauspe

France

47.11%

Koki Matsuda

Japan

52.89%

Average Odds

1.32  /  3.20

Market probability

70.80%  /  29.20%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1607.0 Elo 1550.0
1638.6 Elo (surface) 1553.7
7 Wins (Challenger) 19
7 Wins (surface) 19
7 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.124 Dominance ratio 1.020
600 Rank 478
None Age 25.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Paul Inchauspe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Koki Matsuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Inchauspe Koki Matsuda

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.2%
66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%
73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%
46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%
53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.51
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Inchauspe Koki Matsuda

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%
68.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
26.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Paul Inchauspe 00 Koki Matsuda

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-06
6-4 4-6 6-4
6 Aces 16
1 Double Faults 3
88 Service Points 119
59 First Serve In 79
42 First Serve Won 59
18 Second Serve Won 16
4 Break Points Saved 14
6 Break Points Faced 15
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Paul Inchauspe — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W L

Koki Matsuda — Last 10

L L W L W W W L L W