ATP tennis predict — Paul Inchauspe vs Florent Bax

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Paul Inchauspe

France

30.56%

Florent Bax

France

69.44%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.21

Market probability

57.70% / 42.30%

Why This Prediction?

Florent Bax is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1516 vs 1456), more career match wins (36 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1553 vs 1523).

Player Comparison

1455.9 Elo 1515.6

1522.9 Elo (surface) 1552.8

2 Wins (Challenger) 36

2 Wins (surface) 22

2 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.888 Dominance ratio 1.048

770 Rank 250

None Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Paul Inchauspe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Inchauspe Florent Bax

1st Serve In %

—

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

85.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.2%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Inchauspe Florent Bax

Break Points Saved %

—

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Paul Inchauspe 0 – 0 Florent Bax

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Paul Inchauspe #770

Florent Bax #250

7-5 6-3

3 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

53 Service Points 72

37 First Serve In 45

27 First Serve Won 36

10 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Paul Inchauspe vs Florent Bax — Prediction