ATP tennis predict — Paul Inchauspe vs Ergi Kirkin

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Paul Inchauspe

France

33.63%

Ergi Kirkin

Turkey

66.37%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.29

Market probability

71.68% / 28.32%

Why This Prediction?

Ergi Kirkin is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (31 vs 3), more career match wins (91 vs 3) and a higher Elo rating (1507 vs 1475).

Player Comparison

1474.6 Elo 1506.6

1521.8 Elo (surface) 1509.9

3 Wins (Challenger) 91

3 Wins (surface) 31

3 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 1.064

679 Rank 595

None Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Paul Inchauspe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Ergi Kirkin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Inchauspe Ergi Kirkin

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

40.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.2%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.6%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Paul Inchauspe Ergi Kirkin

Break Points Saved %

—

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

46.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Paul Inchauspe 0 – 0 Ergi Kirkin

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Paul Inchauspe #679

Ergi Kirkin #595

6-4 7-6

6 Aces 10

4 Double Faults 4

67 Service Points 79

33 First Serve In 51

25 First Serve Won 39

19 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Paul Inchauspe vs Ergi Kirkin — Prediction