ATP tennis predict — Patrick Zahraj vs Joshua Sheehy

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Patrick Zahraj

Germany

67.11%

Joshua Sheehy

USA

32.89%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.78

Market probability

67.31% / 32.69%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Zahraj is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1436 vs 1397), a stronger return game (40.5% vs 31.9% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1436.0 Elo 1396.9

1489.1 Elo (surface) 1427.0

48 Wins (Challenger) 29

41 Wins (surface) 22

4 Last 15 form 4

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.968 Dominance ratio 0.734

416 Rank 742

27.2 Age 29.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Zahraj

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Joshua Sheehy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Zahraj Joshua Sheehy

1st Serve In %

56.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.36

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.0%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.1%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Zahraj Joshua Sheehy

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

36.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

24.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Zahraj 1 – 0 Joshua Sheehy

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Patrick Zahraj #416

Joshua Sheehy #742

7-5 6-3

3 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

35 First Serve Won 34

11 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Hard Columbus CH · 2024-09-16

Q2

Patrick Zahraj #634

Joshua Sheehy #833

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 7

55 Service Points 60

30 First Serve In 29

24 First Serve Won 19

13 Second Serve Won 10

4 Break Points Saved 10

6 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Patrick Zahraj vs Joshua Sheehy — Prediction