ATP tennis predict — Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Patrick Schoen

Switzerland

70.31%

Michael Vrbensky

Czech Republic

29.69%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.14

Market probability

77.53% / 22.47%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Schoen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1674 vs 1407) and a higher Elo rating (1660 vs 1423).

Player Comparison

1659.7 Elo 1423.4

1673.8 Elo (surface) 1406.9

5 Wins (Challenger) 96

5 Wins (surface) 76

5 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.977 Dominance ratio 1.105

368 Rank 754

21.4 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Schoen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Michael Vrbensky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Schoen Michael Vrbensky

1st Serve In %

—

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

61.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Schoen Michael Vrbensky

Break Points Saved %

—

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.4%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky have never played each other.

Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky — Prediction