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Patrick Schoen vs Facundo Mena — Prediction

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Patrick Schoen

Switzerland

30.57%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

69.43%

Average Odds

2.11  /  1.63

Market probability

43.58%  /  56.42%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Mena is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (173 vs 2), a stronger serve (68.0% vs 59.0% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1586 vs 1556).

Player Comparison

1556.0 Elo 1585.7
1602.1 Elo (surface) 1621.2
2 Wins (Challenger) 198
2 Wins (surface) 173
2 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.882 Dominance ratio 1.102
498 Rank 306
21.3 Age 33.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Schoen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Schoen Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%
63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%
48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Schoen Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.6%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Schoen 00 Facundo Mena

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-01
6-4 6-2
2 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 3
61 Service Points 58
30 First Serve In 33
19 First Serve Won 24
14 Second Serve Won 16
5 Break Points Saved 7
9 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Patrick Schoen — Last 6

L W W W L L

Facundo Mena — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W