ATP tennis predict — Patrick Schoen vs Boris Arias

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Patrick Schoen

Switzerland

61.97%

Boris Arias

Bolivia

38.03%

Average Odds

1.06 / 7.15

Market probability

87.09% / 12.91%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Schoen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1510 vs 1263), a higher Elo rating (1465 vs 1219) and fewer double faults per game (0.22 vs 0.23).

Player Comparison

1464.8 Elo 1218.7

1510.3 Elo (surface) 1262.5

0 Wins (Challenger) 7

0 Wins (surface) 5

0 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.562 Dominance ratio 0.873

492 Rank 1279

21.3 Age 32.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Schoen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Boris Arias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Schoen Boris Arias

1st Serve In %

—

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

81.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

65.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

59.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.80

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

34.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Schoen Boris Arias

Break Points Saved %

—

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.6%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

54.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Schoen 0 – 0 Boris Arias

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Patrick Schoen #498

Boris Arias #1288

6-2 6-3

8 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

45 Service Points 51

24 First Serve In 29

20 First Serve Won 15

11 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.2

Patrick Schoen vs Boris Arias — Prediction