ATP tennis predict — Patrick Maloney vs Michael Mmoh

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Patrick Maloney

USA

23.35%

Michael Mmoh

USA

76.65%

Average Odds

3.30 / 1.29

Market probability

28.10% / 71.90%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Mmoh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1749 vs 1517), a higher Elo rating (1730 vs 1578) and more wins on hard courts (62 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1577.8 Elo 1730.5

1517.4 Elo (surface) 1749.3

36 Wins (Challenger) 208

25 Wins (surface) 184

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.867 Dominance ratio 1.016

- Rank 178

26.6 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Maloney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Michael Mmoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Maloney Michael Mmoh

1st Serve In %

62.8%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.95

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.6%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.48

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Maloney Michael Mmoh

Break Points Saved %

41.7%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

13.6%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Maloney 0 – 0 Michael Mmoh

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Michael Mmoh #178

Patrick Maloney #-

7-5 6-3

1 Aces 8

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 26

7 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Patrick Maloney vs Michael Mmoh — Prediction