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Patrick Brady vs Toufik Sahtali — Prediction

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Patrick Brady

Great Britain

75.74%

Toufik Sahtali

Algeria

24.26%

Average Odds

1.19  /  4.22

Market probability

78.00%  /  22.00%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Brady is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1575 vs 1468), more career match wins (34 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating (1605 vs 1557).

Player Comparison

1605.1 Elo 1556.8
1574.8 Elo (surface) 1467.6
34 Wins (Challenger) 2
27 Wins (surface) 2
9 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.981 Dominance ratio 1.330
716 Rank 553
21.8 Age 27.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Brady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Toufik Sahtali

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Brady Toufik Sahtali

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.4%
59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%
37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%
52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Brady Toufik Sahtali

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

38.5%
40.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.1%
42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Brady 00 Toufik Sahtali

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Patrick Brady #716

Toufik Sahtali #553

6-1 6-2
1 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
26 First Serve Won 9
4 Second Serve Won 7
1 Break Points Saved 2
2 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Patrick Brady — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W W

Toufik Sahtali — Last 9

L L W L W W W W W