ATP tennis predict — Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Patrick Brady

Great Britain

56.98%

Mili Poljicak

Croatia

43.02%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.71

Market probability

45.84% / 54.16%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Brady is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1570 vs 1442) and more wins on hard courts (28 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1605.8 Elo 1681.1

1569.6 Elo (surface) 1442.5

35 Wins (Challenger) 52

28 Wins (surface) 3

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.981 Dominance ratio 1.074

710 Rank 293

21.9 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Brady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Mili Poljicak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Brady Mili Poljicak

1st Serve In %

—

53.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

60.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Brady Mili Poljicak

Break Points Saved %

—

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

27.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.1%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Brady and Mili Poljicak have never played each other.

Patrick Brady vs Mili Poljicak — Prediction