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Patrick Brady vs Etienne Donnet — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Patrick Brady

Great Britain

65.21%

Etienne Donnet

France

34.79%

Average Odds

1.35  /  3.00

Market probability

68.97%  /  31.03%

Why This Prediction?

Patrick Brady is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1493), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1569 vs 1524) and more wins on hard courts (29 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1608.3 Elo 1492.9
1568.9 Elo (surface) 1523.8
36 Wins (Challenger) 7
29 Wins (surface) 7
10 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.981 Dominance ratio 0.947
715 Rank 817
21.9 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Patrick Brady

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Etienne Donnet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-10-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Brady Etienne Donnet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.8%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%
69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%
51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Patrick Brady Etienne Donnet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

44.0%
56.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%
41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Patrick Brady and Etienne Donnet have never played each other.

Patrick Brady — Last 10

W L L W L W W W L W

Etienne Donnet — Last 10

W L L L W W L W L L