← Back to Predictions

Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Gonzalo Bueno — Prediction

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.98  /  1.36

Market probability

31.34%  /  68.66%

Why This Prediction?

Gonzalo Bueno is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1627 vs 1567), more wins on clay courts (97 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1651 vs 1595).

Player Comparison

1567.3 Elo 1626.7
1594.7 Elo (surface) 1651.2
5 Wins (Challenger) 99
2 Wins (surface) 97
5 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.788 Dominance ratio 1.034
559 Rank 160
None Age 22.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pablo Martinez Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Martinez Gomez Gonzalo Bueno

1st Serve In %

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%
60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%
45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%
34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%
43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Martinez Gomez Gonzalo Bueno

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.8%
31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pablo Martinez Gomez 00 Gonzalo Bueno

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-28
7-6 6-4
5 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 2
72 Service Points 60
37 First Serve In 45
24 First Serve Won 35
16 Second Serve Won 8
4 Break Points Saved 4
7 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Pablo Martinez Gomez — Last 10

L W W L W W L L W L

Gonzalo Bueno — Last 10

L W L W L L W W L W