ATP tennis predict — Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Vitaliy Sachko

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 00:05

Predicted probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

69.35%

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

30.65%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.61

Market probability

63.97% / 36.03%

Why This Prediction?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1549 vs 1465), a stronger serve (70.0% vs 54.2% of service points won) and a stronger return game (39.4% vs 36.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1595.9 Elo 1661.9

1549.1 Elo (surface) 1465.3

35 Wins 24

10 Wins (surface) 14

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.313 Dominance ratio 0.788

126 Rank 188

23.9 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Vitaliy Sachko

1st Serve In %

65.9%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.08

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Vitaliy Sachko

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko

Hard US Open · 2026-08-27

qualification - 2. round

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #126

Vitaliy Sachko #188

6-2 4-6 7-6

6 Aces 14

5 Double Faults 0

129 Service Points 101

77 First Serve In 70

53 First Serve Won 54

23 Second Serve Won 14

11 Break Points Saved 2

15 Break Points Faced 5

44 Winners 32

56 Unforced Errors 23

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Vitaliy Sachko — Prediction