ATP tennis predict — Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pedro Martinez

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · QF 17:30

Predicted probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

53.24%

Pedro Martinez

Spain

46.76%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.23

Market probability

58.22% / 41.78%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1815.7 Elo 1750.8

1713.2 Elo (surface) 1733.9

92 Wins (Challenger) 166

23 Wins (surface) 41

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.101 Dominance ratio 0.915

144 Rank 130

24.0 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Pedro Martinez

1st Serve In %

65.9%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

71.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

34.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

56.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Pedro Martinez

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

47.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0 – 2 Pedro Martinez

Hard Tenerife CH · 2024-01-15

QF

Pedro Martinez #109

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #160

6-4 6-2

1 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 0

46 Service Points 61

31 First Serve In 45

27 First Serve Won 26

9 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Girona CH · 2023-03-27

R16

Pedro Martinez #121

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #323

6-2 7-6(7)

0 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 5

60 Service Points 68

41 First Serve In 38

25 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 6