ATP tennis predict — Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 04:10

Predicted probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

55.35%

Francisco Comesana

Argentina

44.65%

Average Odds

1.88 / 1.85

Market probability

49.60% / 50.40%

Why This Prediction?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1510 vs 1456), a stronger serve (65.1% vs 60.2% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (20 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1571.1 Elo 1644.4

1510.3 Elo (surface) 1456.0

88 Wins (Challenger) 109

20 Wins (surface) 5

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.233 Dominance ratio 1.093

130 Rank 109

23.8 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Francisco Comesana

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Francisco Comesana

1st Serve In %

65.9%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.5%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.3%

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.1%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.08

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz Francisco Comesana

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.5%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0 – 1 Francisco Comesana

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #130

Francisco Comesana #109

6-3 7-5

2 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 0

72 Service Points 59

44 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 19

15 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Vicenza CH · 2023-05-29

F

Francisco Comesana #241

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #223

3-6 6-2 6-2

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

77 Service Points 96

60 First Serve In 70

43 First Serve Won 35

7 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 7

9 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesana — Prediction