ATP tennis predict — Ozan Baris vs Lorenzo Claverie

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Ozan Baris

USA

60.77%

Lorenzo Claverie

Italy

39.23%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.32

Market probability

72.49% / 27.51%

Why This Prediction?

Ozan Baris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1547 vs 1264), a higher Elo rating (1555 vs 1479) and more wins on hard courts (15 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1554.8 Elo 1478.9

1547.3 Elo (surface) 1264.0

16 Wins (Challenger) 11

15 Wins (surface) 1

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 1.016

427 Rank 884

22.4 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ozan Baris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Lorenzo Claverie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ozan Baris Lorenzo Claverie

1st Serve In %

—

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

78.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

43.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.72

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ozan Baris Lorenzo Claverie

Break Points Saved %

—

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

76.7%

Break Points Converted %

47.7%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ozan Baris 0 – 0 Lorenzo Claverie

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Ozan Baris #427

Lorenzo Claverie #884

6-4 4-6 6-2

2 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 8

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

37 First Serve Won 43

17 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 7

2 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Ozan Baris vs Lorenzo Claverie — Prediction