ATP tennis predict — Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - round of 16 19:00

Predicted probability

Ozan Baris

USA

56.93%

Evan Zhu

USA

43.07%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.36

Market probability

61.94% / 38.06%

Why This Prediction?

Ozan Baris is the favorite because he has fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.20) and a higher Elo rating (1576 vs 1546).

Player Comparison

1576.4 Elo 1545.9

1556.6 Elo (surface) 1557.6

17 Wins (Challenger) 73

16 Wins (surface) 60

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 1.041

427 Rank 525

22.5 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ozan Baris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ozan Baris Evan Zhu

1st Serve In %

—

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

60.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ozan Baris Evan Zhu

Break Points Saved %

—

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ozan Baris 0 – 0 Evan Zhu

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Evan Zhu #522

Ozan Baris #420

6-4 4-6 6-4

0 Aces 8

1 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

37 First Serve Won 49

15 Second Serve Won 18

3 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.4

Ozan Baris vs Evan Zhu — Prediction