ATP tennis predict — Ozan Baris vs Edas Butvilas

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Ozan Baris

USA

41.85%

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

58.15%

Average Odds

2.11 / 1.63

Market probability

43.58% / 56.42%

Why This Prediction?

Edas Butvilas is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0), a stronger serve (64.9% vs 60.1% of service points won) and more career match wins (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1541.6 Elo 1484.1

1568.4 Elo (surface) 1565.2

16 Wins (Challenger) 80

15 Wins (surface) 59

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.862 Dominance ratio 1.109

486 Rank 268

22.4 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ozan Baris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ozan Baris Edas Butvilas

1st Serve In %

—

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.0%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ozan Baris Edas Butvilas

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.7%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ozan Baris 0 – 0 Edas Butvilas

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Edas Butvilas #268

Ozan Baris #486

6-0 6-2

1 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

49 Service Points 42

29 First Serve In 24

16 First Serve Won 20

5 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Ozan Baris vs Edas Butvilas — Prediction