ATP tennis predict — Otto Virtanen vs Vignesh Gogineni

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 18:10

Predicted probability

Otto Virtanen

Finland

91.32%

Vignesh Gogineni

USA

8.68%

Average Odds

1.22 / 4.08

Market probability

76.98% / 23.02%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1774 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1765 vs 1500) and more career match wins (125 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1773.8 Elo 1500

1764.9 Elo (surface) 1500

53 Wins 0

27 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.935 Dominance ratio 0.935

114 Rank 1082

25.1 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Vignesh Gogineni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Otto Virtanen Vignesh Gogineni

1st Serve In %

58.5%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

81.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

60.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

1.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Otto Virtanen Vignesh Gogineni

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

80.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.6%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Otto Virtanen 0 – 0 Vignesh Gogineni

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-11

qualification - 1. round

Otto Virtanen #114

Vignesh Gogineni #1082

6-3 6-1

2 Aces 11

1 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 51

29 First Serve In 33

17 First Serve Won 27

6 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

6 Winners 15

17 Unforced Errors 19

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Otto Virtanen vs Vignesh Gogineni — Prediction