ATP tennis predict — Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Otto Virtanen

Finland

69.30%

Ugo Blanchet

France

30.70%

Average Odds

1.33 / 2.86

Market probability

68.26% / 31.74%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1740 vs 1597), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1725 vs 1640) and a stronger serve (64.6% vs 63.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1739.6 Elo 1597.2

1725.2 Elo (surface) 1640.2

54 Wins 25

28 Wins (surface) 14

7 Last 15 form 6

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.868 Dominance ratio 0.887

116 Rank 192

25.2 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Otto Virtanen Ugo Blanchet

1st Serve In %

58.5%

52.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Otto Virtanen Ugo Blanchet

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.6%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Otto Virtanen 2 – 0 Ugo Blanchet

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Otto Virtanen #108

Ugo Blanchet #199

6-4 6-4

15 Aces 1

11 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 56

39 First Serve In 33

32 First Serve Won 23

17 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 4

31 Winners 7

23 Unforced Errors 8

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Thionville CH · 2026-03-02

QF

Otto Virtanen #128

Ugo Blanchet #162

7-5 7-6(3)

9 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

64 Service Points 84

43 First Serve In 44

35 First Serve Won 33

17 Second Serve Won 22

0 Break Points Saved 8

1 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Roanne CH · 2022-11-06

R16

Otto Virtanen #195

Ugo Blanchet #328

6-7(4) 6-4 6-1

15 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 6

101 Service Points 95

66 First Serve In 42

49 First Serve Won 29

17 Second Serve Won 24

5 Break Points Saved 8

7 Break Points Faced 13