ATP tennis predict — Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Otto Virtanen

Finland

66.92%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

33.08%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.72

Market probability

65.70% / 34.30%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1738 vs 1577), a higher Elo rating (1748 vs 1667) and a lighter recent match load (20 vs 23 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1747.9 Elo 1667.1

1738.0 Elo (surface) 1577.5

55 Wins 11

29 Wins (surface) 6

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.881 Dominance ratio 0.938

108 Rank 165

25.2 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Otto Virtanen Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

58.5%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.9%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Otto Virtanen Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

40.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.6%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Otto Virtanen 0 – 0 Jack Pinnington Jones

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Otto Virtanen #108

Jack Pinnington Jones #165

2-6 7-6 6-3

7 Aces 4

8 Double Faults 7

97 Service Points 92

55 First Serve In 47

37 First Serve Won 31

21 Second Serve Won 26

3 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 7

32 Winners 23

47 Unforced Errors 33

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction