ATP tennis predict — Oskari Paldanius vs Nicolas Tepmahc

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Oskari Paldanius

Finland

64.62%

Nicolas Tepmahc

France

35.38%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.91

Market probability

67.99% / 32.01%

Why This Prediction?

Oskari Paldanius is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1461 vs 1362), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1477 vs 1341) and more career match wins (3 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1461.1 Elo 1361.9

1476.6 Elo (surface) 1341.2

3 Wins (Challenger) 2

3 Wins (surface) 1

3 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.058 Dominance ratio 0.803

824 Rank 621

None Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oskari Paldanius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Nicolas Tepmahc

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oskari Paldanius Nicolas Tepmahc

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.3%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oskari Paldanius Nicolas Tepmahc

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

48.0%

Break Points Converted %

54.1%

28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oskari Paldanius 0 – 0 Nicolas Tepmahc

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Oskari Paldanius #824

Nicolas Tepmahc #621

3-6 6-1 2-1

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 3

63 Service Points 60

41 First Serve In 33

26 First Serve Won 23

13 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Oskari Paldanius vs Nicolas Tepmahc — Prediction