ATP tennis predict — Oskari Paldanius vs Leo Raquillet

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Oskari Paldanius

Finland

25.50%

Leo Raquillet

France

74.50%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.76

Market probability

47.31% / 52.69%

Why This Prediction?

Leo Raquillet is the favorite because he has better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), a higher Elo rating (1429 vs 1405) and more career match wins (10 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1405.1 Elo 1429.1

1451.6 Elo (surface) 1411.7

0 Wins (Challenger) 10

0 Wins (surface) 6

0 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 1.051

1083 Rank 654

None Age 20.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oskari Paldanius

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Leo Raquillet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oskari Paldanius Leo Raquillet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.3%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oskari Paldanius Leo Raquillet

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

45.7%

Break Points Converted %

54.1%

48.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oskari Paldanius 0 – 0 Leo Raquillet

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Oskari Paldanius #1083

Leo Raquillet #654

3-6 6-0 7-5

3 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 92

54 First Serve In 61

34 First Serve Won 37

15 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Oskari Paldanius vs Leo Raquillet — Prediction