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Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Prediction

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.62  /  1.37

Market probability

34.34%  /  65.66%

Why This Prediction?

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1554 vs 1310), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1565 vs 1325) and more wins on clay courts (4 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1310.2 Elo 1553.7
1324.5 Elo (surface) 1565.0
45 Wins (Challenger) 142
38 Wins (surface) 132
3 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.857 Dominance ratio 1.024
723 Rank 434
33.4 Age 27.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

1st Serve In %

61.2%
61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%
52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

6.2%
24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

22.2%
44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.09
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%
50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%
48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

56.5%
41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oscar Jose Gutierrez 00 Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-13
6-2 7-6
1 Aces 8
5 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
25 First Serve Won 32
15 Second Serve Won 15
8 Break Points Saved 3
12 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Oscar Jose Gutierrez — Last 10

L L L L L W L W L L

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L